The northeast Kamchatka Peninsula is characterized by unique tectonic regimes: (i) the triple junction ~30 km off the east coast [1], (ii) subduction of the Emperor Seamount Chain [2], and (iii) possible asthenospheric flow between the mantle wedge and the sub-slab mantle via the edge of subducted Pacific slab [3]. Within this area, a monogenetic volcanic group occurs along the east coast, including high-Mg andesitic rocks and relatively primitive basalts (East Cones, EC [4]). We have conducted geochemical studies of the EC lavas, with bulk rock major and trace elements, Sr-Nd isotopic compositions, and K-Ar and Ar-Ar ages, based on which a possible contribution of subducted seamounts and its relation to the tectonic setting are discussed.
The elemental and isotopic compositions indicate that the lavas from individual cones have distinct mantle sources with different amounts and/or compositions of slab-derived fluids. Based on mass balance, water content and melting phase relations, we estimate the melting P-T conditions to be ~1200 ℃ at 1.5 GPa, while the slab surface temperature is 620 – 730 ℃ (at 50-80 km depth). The Sr-Nd isotopic compositions is close to Late Cretaceous Emperor Seamount Chain, especially Detroit [5]. The K-Ar and Ar-Ar ages of the Middle to Late Pleistocene are consistent with the present tectonic setting after 2 Ma [6].
These results suggest that the EC lavas including high-Mg andesite and basalt were generated by mantle flux-melting induced by dehydration of a subducted seamount inheriting a local thermal anomaly [7, 8]

Arc magmatism is a product of subduction factory, involving thermal and chemical interactions
between a subducted slab as a material input and mantle wedge as a processing factory. In turn, the
compositions of arc magma provide invaluable information concerning the material input and the
interactions. The northeast Kamchatka Peninsula is an ideal field to examine such interactions and
relationships, being characterized by (1) subduction of the Emperor Seamount Chain (Davaille and
Lees, 2004), and (2) possible material and thermal interaction among the subducted slab, the
overlying mantle wedge and the sub-slab mantle via the edge of subducted Pacific slab (Portnyagin
and Manea, 2008). Within this area, a monogenetic volcanic group occurs along the east coast,
including high-Mg andesitic rocks and relatively primitive basalts (East Cones, EC (Fedorenko,
1969)). We have conducted geochemical studies of the EC lavas, with bulk rock major and trace
elements, and K-Ar and Ar-Ar ages, based on which a possible contribution of subducted seamounts
and its relation to the tectonic setting are discussed.
The elemental compositions indicate that the lavas from individual cones have distinct mantle
sources with different amounts and/or compositions of slab-derived fluids. Based on mass balance,
water content and melting phase relations, we estimate the melting P-T conditions to bet ~1200 ℃
at 1.5 GPa, while the slab surface temperature is 620 –730 ℃ (at 50-80 km depth). Compared with
the southern part of Kamchatka, the slab surface temperature beneath EC seems to be high due to the
thinner Pacific slab associated with the seamount chain and/or the plate rejuvenation from a mantle
plume impact (Davaille and Lees, 2004; Manea and Manea, 2007).
The K-Ar and Ar-Ar ages of the Middle Pleistocene are consistent with the tephrochronological
study (Uspensky and Shapiro, 1984) and the present tectonic setting after 2 Ma (Lander and Shapiro,
2007). The high-Mg andesite with the highest SiO2 content in the EC lavas shows the oldest age
(0.73 ±0.06 Ma) within not only EC but also the northeast part of Kamchatka (e.g., Churikova et
al., 2015, IAVCEI). On the other hand, the rest of EC lava samples show relatively younger ages to
0.18 ±0.07 Ma. These results suggest that the EC lavas including high-Mg andesite and basalt were
generated by mantle flux-melting induced by dehydration of a subducted seamount inheriting a local
thermal anomaly (Nishizawa et al., 2014, JpGU; 2015, JpGU).

Compositional zonation in olivine phenocrysts and diffusion modelling have been used in the last ten years to estimate magma residence times and the duration of magma ascent. The fundamental assumption is that mixing with newly injected magma into a reservoir triggers diffusional exchange between mafic olivine crystals and more evolved magma and that this magma mixing eventually triggers eruption. If depth of mixing is known, this translates to ascent rates of magmas to the surface. We applied this approach to a series of different arc basalt lavas from Kamchatka to constrain the rates of magma ascent and magma resident in what is one of the most active subduction zones in the world that is also dominated by an abundance of unusually mafic magmas. Our sample collection cover the principal modes of arc magmatism in Kamchatka: from different volcanic complexes (stratovolcano, dikes, summit eruptions, monogenetic cones), of different age (from Late-Pleistocene to Holocene and recent eruptions), from different magmatic regimes (long-lived volcanoes vs. monogenetic eruptions) and different major element composition (from basalt to basaltic andesite of different geochemical character including LILE enrichments). We analyzed and modelled zonation profiles for a range of elements with different diffusivities (e.g. Mg-Fe, Ca, Ni, Mn, Cr) to assess the role of variable diffusivities as a function of major and trace elements in the olivines from different P-T conditions. First data were obtained on samples from the Klyuchevskoy, Shiveluch and Tolbachik, including recent most eruption in 2012/2013. These data show that for some samples the zonation patterns are much more complex than is usually observed: high-Mg olivines at different volcanoes have very different zonation patterns, including normally, reversely zoned grains or even show highly complex repetitive zonation that indicate large compositional changes in the surrounding magma at very short time scales (years). Thus in some Kamchatka basalts, we observe unusual Mg-Fe zonations that are linked to complex mixing, possibly resorption and subsequent crystal growth processes that are generally not preserved due to fast diffusion of Mg-Fe. Based on a first assessment of our measured profiles, the values for diffusion times in Fo-rich olivines (88 to 92% Fo) vary from only a few months to years and thus magma ascent from deep magma sources must have been fast.

Предложена формализованная методика вероятностного прогноза на основе применения статистической оценки уровня сейсмичности и ряда вспомогательных функций, характеризующих предвестниковую ситуацию. Возможности методики проиллюстрированы на примере сейсмических активизаций перед извержениями вулкана Безымянный (Ключевская группа вулканов, Камчатка).
В качестве исходных использованы данные из каталога землетрясений Ключевской группы вулканов за 1999–2014 гг., созданного в Камчатском филиале Геофизической службы РАН. В названный период произошло 21 извержение вулкана Безымянный.
Предвестник определен как превышение порогового значения функции, связанной с текущим уровнем сейсмичности и его характерным видом перед извержением.
Приведены значения набора параметров, характеризующих предвестник, включая достоверность, надежность и эффективность, рассчитанная двумя способами. Показано, что с увеличением пороговых значений надежность предвестника уменьшается, а достоверность растет. При прогнозировании извержений надежность составляет 0.38–0.95, т.е. от 38 % до 95 % извержений в зависимости от задаваемого порогового значения имели предвестник. Достоверность при этом составляет 0.3–0.6, т.е. реализованы от 30 % до 60 % выявленных предвестников также в зависимости от используемого порога. Значения эффективности подтверждают неслучайный характер появления предвестника.
Методика включает определение параметра ”вероятность реализации прогноза”. Создана номограмма вероятности в зависимости от длительности прогноза и значения предвестника.

По данным микросейсмического зондирования построена глубинная модель среды под районом Узон-Гейзерной вулкано-тектонической депрессии и прилежащего к ней вулканического массива Кихпиныч (Камчатка) до глубины 30 км. Для этого была осуществлена регистрация естественного фонового микросейсмического поля переносными широкополосными сейсмометрами Guralp CMG-6TD в точках специально спланированной наблюдательной сети: в 60-ти точках вдоль трех профилей общей длиной около 28 км. Выявленные структурные неоднородности проинтерпретированы с учетом известных ранее результатов геологических, геолого-морфологических и петрологических исследований. Идентифицирована и пространственно локализована область малоглубинного закристаллизовавшегося магматического очага под депрессией. Выявлены области предположительной концентрации базальтовых расплавов, с которыми может быть связана наблюдающаяся в последние ~ 15 лет локальная геодинамическая активизация исследуемого района: периферический магматический очаг вулканического массива Кихпиныч на глубине 5-12 км, более глубокая (15-20 км) магматическая камера. Получено согласие геометрии обнаруженных глубинных структур с локальной микросейсмичностью и моделью современного магматического внедрения в верхние горизонты коры, разработанной по данным спутниковой интерферометрии.